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If Mason-Dixon is right, McCain can win

Are these numbers accurate? If so, they should constipate The One.trojanremover free

For reasons well-explained elsewhere, Obama can win only if he’s polling at or above 50 percent in pre-election surveys. And in all of these closely-fought states, according to Mason-Dixon, he isn’t:trojanremover free

  • Colorado
  • Florida
  • Nevada
  • Pennsylvania
  • Virginia
  • Ohio
  • Missouri
  • North Carolina

Relatedly, TIPP, nearly spot-on in 2004, shows The One leading by only 2 points, and polling below 50 percent nationally:trojanremover free

The race tightened again Sunday as independents who’d been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain to leave that key group a toss-up. McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high school graduates.trojanremover free

I’ll stick with my projection of Obama taking 349 electoral votes. But the warranty on that offer has expired.trojanremover free

Meanwhile, in Pennsylvania, the state GOP is now dropping napalm.trojanremover free